Hi ZS, assuming that whether or even otherwise one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, anyhow?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is precisely what your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.

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